Faithful representation of temporal variations of land cover in the next generation of C3S climate reanalyses (ERA6 and beyond) and seasonal forecasts and reforecasts.
→ Improvements in monitoring and forecasting of temperature and hydrological trends and extremes over land
Achieved by:
- Implement the capability within Earth System Models framework to ingest temporal variations of land use and land cover using the C3S/CGLS Land Cover dataset (https://cds.climate.Copernicus.eu/cdsapp#!/dataset/satellite-land-cover?tab=doc ) and the Land-Use Harmonized datasets (Hurtt et al. 2006)
- Conduct stand-alone and coupled multi-year simulations to evaluate their potential impact when used to initialize seasonal forecasts, using a multi model approach to assess robustness and uncertainties.
- Process evaluation of developments by using a variety of land informative observations
- Assess developments in seasonal forecasts, with focus on representation of trends, anomalies and extremes.
Addressed in work packages: WP1 and WP3